Home
/
Market analysis
/
Fundamental analysis
/

Bitcoin scarcity: why everyone is underestimating its value

Bitcoin Scarcity Escalates | Companies and States Hoarding BTC

By

Fatima Al-Farsi

Jan 25, 2026, 02:05 AM

Edited By

Emily Harper

3 minutes estimated to read

Visual representation of Bitcoin scarcity with coins stacked and a graph showing rising demand.
popular

As of January 2026, firms like MicroStrategy, BlackRock, and Vanguard are aggressively accumulating Bitcoin, with MicroStrategy alone holding over 709,000 BTC. This strategy signals a growing trend among corporations and governments to stockpile the crypto asset ahead of the upcoming 2024 halving. Meanwhile, they are joined by states like Texas, which recently purchased $10 million in BTC for its reserves, stirring discussion about future accessibility.

Companies in the Bitcoin Race

Major players in the financial sector are increasingly buying Bitcoin as they launch their ETF offerings. Notably, MicroStrategy has acquired enough Bitcoin that it effectively prevents millions from ever owning whole coins. This effort demonstrates a strategic shift in the perception of Bitcoin as a long-term asset rather than a short-term trade.

A Wave of Government Interest

States are not just observing; they are getting involved. Texas's $10 million purchase kicked off a wave of interest, with other states looking to follow suit. Kazakhstan has even proposed a fund worth between $100 million to $1 billion, further adding to the excitement around BTC.

Supply Decrease and Future Outlook

With only about 2 million BTC left to mine, the daily minting will drop from 450 to 225 coins after the 2028 halving. The increasing scarcity poses a challenge for average Americans aiming to invest. Currently, it costs around $10,000 to buy just 0.1 BTC, a sharp increase compared to the $2,000 to $3,000 range seen in past years.

"It will be incredibly difficult for regular people to buy .1 BTC," a community member noted.

Demand vs. Scarcity: The Big Question

Commentators on forums express a mix of hope and concern over Bitcoinโ€™s future. While some emphasize that current demand is not sufficient to drive scarcity-driven price gains, others remain optimistic, claiming that growing fiscal irresponsibility among governments will boost Bitcoinโ€™s appeal.

  • ๐Ÿ’Ž Scarcity is rising: MicroStrategy controls BTC, limiting public access.

  • โš–๏ธ Government interest grows: Texas and Kazakhstan leading the charge.

  • ๐Ÿ’ฐ Sky-high prices: Average worker struggles to buy fractions of BTC.

Summary of Community Sentiment

Much of the community sentiment reflects a sense of urgency around Bitcoin accumulation. Some believe that the rich and governments will dominate Bitcoin ownership, squeezing out average investors. โ€œBy the 2032 halving, it may be nearly impossible for many to obtain small amounts of BTC,โ€ a user pointed out.

Final Thoughts

The narrative is clear: as Bitcoin scarcity becomes a reality, the upcoming Bitcoin halving could tilt the balance of accessibility toward major players, challenging individual investors.

Stay updated on this evolving situation as more states and corporations enter the Bitcoin arena and as the market dynamics shift dramatically.

What Lies Ahead for Bitcoin

Thereโ€™s a strong chance that as Bitcoin scarcity intensifies, we will see a distinct divide in ownership between institutional players and average investors. Corporations and governments are likely to continue their stockpiling, possibly influencing Bitcoin's market price significantly. Experts estimate that by the mid-2030s, over 75% of available Bitcoin may be locked in the hands of major entities, making it increasingly difficult for individuals to acquire even small amounts. This trend hints that, without a dramatic increase in market accessibility or production, everyday people may find themselves priced out of the Bitcoin market altogether.

A Lesson from the Gold Rush

The current Bitcoin landscape shares a similarity with the California Gold Rush of the mid-1800s, where wealth was wildly concentrated among a few lucky prospectors and large mining companies, leaving the rest of the public to struggle for fleeting opportunities. Just like how many average folks were drawn westward with dreams of striking it rich, todayโ€™s investors are flocking toward Bitcoin in hopes of financial security, only to face rising barriers. This historical event underscores that asset scarcity can amplify the wealth gap, transforming an originally accessible opportunity into a domain ruled by the resource-rich elite.